Is Kurzweil's Singularity Disruptive
آیا سینگولاریته ی کرزوایل دیسراپتیو
Long before publishing his book <Singularity is Near>, Ray Kurzweil defined Technological Singularity in human history to be around 2045, but today is 2019 and we have basically reached Kurzweil's Singularity, because of state of the art computer hardware, i.e. the current existing high performance microprocessors already run faster than the human brain and as Kurzweil notes, we need the software to make machine's intelligence to act at the level of humans or other biological species (1). Nonetheless, the question is whether Kurzweil's Singularity is *disruptive*? Well, it depends on what we will make next, based on this faster-than-human microprocessors. If we make a super-gene, I doubt it to be disruptive at all and will have the continuation of same issues the evolution has faced over billions of years, when mutations go wrong, cancers, etc, so at best, we will be continuing the non-disruptive work to make more advancements in medicine in new ways, which is a progress, but certainly is not a game-changer.
In the last half century, new bodies for humans have been developed thanks to materials science and engineering, and such innovations are not limited to prosthetic limbs and artificial organs, and already there are fashion shows for these new human parts as we have had fashion shows for clothes and cosmetics for millenia. In other words, the human body, the same way Ray Kurzweil suggested in his book "Singularity is Near" will be like the body of shapeshifters in Harry Potter movies. Nonetheless, the million dollar question is, when would we be able to download our brain onto that body, or to make a brain structure artificially, which can accept the transfer of our brain content and processing capabilities; making such a technology would surely make Kurzweil's Singularity disruptive. In fact, a few years ago, before joining Google, Ray Kurzweil started a project to <Reverse Engineer the Brain>.
I do not know how
much progress the project to <reverse engineer the brain> has made, but it seems to me if we are going to have a
Disruptive Kurzweil Singularity, that path may be one of the best ways to
achieve a disruptive technology at this epochal juncture of human history, or at least, I cannot think of any other way to make it
possible to download the content and functional prowess of our human
brain onto an artificial entity as we continue to discuss "New
Variant to Meet Human Needs" (2)!
Hoping for a democratic and secular futurist republic in Iran,
May 1, 2019
1. Kurzweil's Response about the Next Step in Making of an Artificial Sentient Being
پاسخ ری کرزوایل درباره گام بعدی در ساختن موجود متفکر مصنوعی
2. New Variant to Meet Human
Needs-An Electronic Book
واریانت جدید برای تأمین نیازهای بشر- کتاب الکترونیک
For a Secular Democratic & Futurist Republican Party in Iran