WHAT SHOULD HAPPEN IN IRAN VERSUS WHAT MAY HAPPEN IN IRAN?

http://ghandchi.com/63-Should_Happen.htm

 

 

I discussed the following three questions in my following article entitled "Modern Futurism":

 

http://www.ghandchi.com/50-Modern_Futurism.htm

 

http://www.ghandchi.com/90-ayandehnegari.pdf

 

 

1.  What will very possibly happen in the future? (analytic futurism)

2.  What can happen in the future? (visionary futurism)

3.  What should happen in the future? (participatory futurism)

 

Let's ponder more on the last question and  ask "what should happen in the future" of Iran?

 

If we want to see the end of theocracy in Iran, and to have a referendum to do away with the Islamic state, what political organizations do we think can lead Iranians to achieve such a goal?

 

Can current political organizations of Iran such as Jebh-e Melli, Monarchist groups, Mojahedin Khalgh, Jebh-e Mosharekat, Nehzat Azadi, leftists, etc lead such a change or a new political organization is needed to achieve such a goal.

 

Can a coalition of some or all these organizations achieve such a goal?

 

If a new political organization is needed to achieve such a goal, what should the mission of such an organization be?  What strategy and tactics should such an organization choose?  What should its three-year plan be?  How should it define its yearly objectives for 2001, 2002, and 2003?

 

I think without forming a political organization, which can lead such a change, all discussions and activities about "what *should* happen in the future” may hardly make any impact on "what *may* happen in the future" of Iran, namely becoming another Saudi Arabia!

 

Yes, what may happen in Iran is that it may turn into another Saudi Arabia, where the U.S. will close eyes to stonings, amputations, Mortad Law, etc ... and the Iranian lobbyist lawyers will collect big checks working in Washington, making sure the oil companies have lucrative relations with Iran.

 

Sam Ghandchi, Publisher

IRANSCOPE

http://www.IRANSCOPE.com

September 15, 2000

 

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* The above article was first posted on SCI (soc.culture.iranian) Usenet newsgroup on September 15, 2000

 

 

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